Storylines: Difference between revisions
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'''See also''': [[Scenario|<span style="color: #DB20D2">Scenario</span>]] | '''See also''': [[Scenario|<span style="color: #DB20D2">Scenario</span>]] | ||
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Revision as of 11:16, 23 January 2025
Definition
A physically self-consistent unfolding of past events, or of plausible future events or pathways. As no a priori probability of the storyline is assessed, it is not a prediction. Emphasis is placed instead on understanding the driving factors involved and the plausibility of those factors (or of changes in those factors).
Source
Shepherd, T.G., Boyd, E., Calel, R.A., Chapman, S.C., Dessai, S., Dima-West, I.M., Fowler, H.J., James, R., Maraun, D., Martius, O., & Senior, C.A. (2018). Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change. Climatic change, 151(3), pp.555-571.
Available at: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9
See also: Scenario
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