Know your correlation: An interactive game: Difference between revisions

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{{MHRA
|Publication Year=2024
|Access=Open
|Link=https://zenodo.org/records/12532855, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12532855
|Organisation(s)/Authors=John Hillier, Loughborough Univeristy, UK
|Description=Summary of activity: A dice-rolling game, simulating 6 causes of loss (i.e. possible hazards) and how dependency affects the chance of loss exceeding a threshold.
Why is the training important: In short, because diversification is the basis of all (re)insurance, and correlation (a.k.a. dependency) destroys diversification. So, it’s fundamental. If we get dependency wrong, we mis-estimate risk, mis-price risk etc ….
|Key Words=Insurance, Risk correlation, Natural hazard Dependency, Co-occurring hazards, Compound risk
}}
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'''Year of publication''': 2024
'''Year of publication''': 2024

Revision as of 16:59, 25 March 2025

Author(s):

Organisation(s)/Authors:

Description:

Summary of activity: A dice-rolling game, simulating 6 causes of loss (i.e. possible hazards) and how dependency affects the chance of loss exceeding a threshold. Why is the training important: In short, because diversification is the basis of all (re)insurance, and correlation (a.k.a. dependency) destroys diversification. So, it’s fundamental. If we get dependency wrong, we mis-estimate risk, mis-price risk etc ….

Technical Considerations:

Key Words:

Insurance, Risk correlation, Natural hazard Dependency, Co-occurring hazards, Compound risk

Year of publication: 2024

Access: Open

Link: https://zenodo.org/records/12532855, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12532855

Organisation(s) / Author(s): John Hillier, Loughborough Univeristy, UK

Description:

Summary of activity: A dice-rolling game, simulating 6 causes of loss (i.e. possible hazards) and how dependency affects the chance of loss exceeding a threshold.

Why is the training important: In short, because diversification is the basis of all (re)insurance, and correlation (a.k.a. dependency) destroys diversification. So, it’s fundamental. If we get dependency wrong, we mis-estimate risk, mis-price risk etc ….

Technical considerations:

None

Keywords:

Insurance, Risk correlation, Natural hazard Dependency, Co-occurring hazards, Compound risk