Heat Related Human Impact Functions

From Disaster Risk Gateway

Year of publication: In progress

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Organisation(s) / Author(s): Kelley de Polt et al.

Description

We have developed a methodology to determine impact-relevant durations for climate hazards, with anexample application to extreme heat events in Germany (De Polt et al., 2023). Impact-relevant durations can then be utilised to develop time-dependent intensity-damage functions which allow us to identifyhazard-impact thresholds. Input parameters for both methods include hazard metrics (e.g., temperature for heat waves; soil moisture for droughts) as well as impact/damage (e.g., mortality; hospitalisations) or societal response metrics (e.g., media attention). Our approach is quantitative and data-driven, enabling precise analysis of hazards in the context of their impacts. These methods, which are applicable a range of both single and multi-hazard scenarios, currently utilise datasets within the health sector and public attention domains, though have potential for expansion to other sectors where temporally consistent impact datasets are available.

Approach for impact-relevant durations
Approach for time-dependent intensity-damage functions

Technical considerations

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Keywords

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